Tropical Depression Ten grew in strength and became Tropical Storm Idalia on Sunday.


What You Need To Know

  • Tropical Depression Ten became Idalia on Sunday

  • The National Hurricane Center forecast track brings it toward the Carolinas mid to late week

  • Forecast changes are possible in the coming days

The system continues to organize and is expected to grow in strength in the coming days as it moves northward.

The current National Hurricane Center forecast for the storm brings Idalia through the Gulf of Mexico, and intensifying it into a hurricane.

Landfall, later this week, is expected along the west coast of Florida.

The predicted path of the tropical system, then brings it inland across the southeastern states, through Georgia and then into the Carolinas by late Wednesday into Thursday.

On this path, and based on this forecast, North Carolina could start feeling some effects of the storm by late Wednesday and this would continue into Thursday.

Computer models over the past 24 hours have come into better agreement about the eventual track of the tropical system. Many agree on the path through the southeastern United States and the off the Carolina coast.

Spaghetti models or plots show a series of individual computer forecast models together on one map. They are useful to give insight into whether multiple models are in agreement on the path of the storm but they do not address the storm’s forecast intensity, winds, flooding and storm surge potential or other data. Tap here for more details on how to best use these models.

It is difficult to say the exact impacts of the storm on our area at this time, with the exact track and strength of the system in question. However, it will be possible that we could see moderate to heavy rain, gusty winds and an isolated tornado threat if Idalia moves near or over the state.

At this time, we all just need to be prepared for possible tropical weather in the late Wednesday to Thursday time frame.

Stay with Spectrum News 1 and Weather on the Ones as we track this system during the upcoming week.

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