Rain and thunderstorms are still expected Thursday across eastern portions of the state brining isolated tornadoes, damaging wind gusts and large hail. While these are the primary threats, there is the potential for heavy rainfall to lead to localized flooding, especially in areas prone to flooding.

What You Need To Know

  • The risk for severe storms has dropped in Texas

  • Gusty winds and some large hail still possible, tornadoes becoming more unlikely 

  • The window for severe storms on Thursday will be between through 2 p.m., or as late at 6 p.m.

The latest severe weather update from the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) shows a trend downward for severe weather coverage this afternoon. Current cloud cover has limited the atmosphere’s instability.

While there is still a stout wind profile with adequate shear, the atmosphere doesn’t have enough moisture or heat to develop from surface-based air.

The enhanced risk for severe storms is no longer advertised and the risk for tornadoes has dropped, too. Instead, gusty winds and some marginally large hail will be possible for the rest of the afternoon. The best chance for storms to possibly form will be in southeast Texas.

Heavy rain and localized flooding are possible, too 

The Weather Prediction Center has placed much of the upper Texas coastline and eastern Texas under a slight risk of flash flooding through tonight.

In Central Texas, rainfall totals seem to hover around a half-inch near I-35, but increase up to 1.5 inches farther east. North Texas could see a longer duration of showers than storms, so their totals are slightly higher, ranging between 1 to 2 inches by Friday morning. 

As the low pressure system continues to advance east during this period, and the warm front associated lifts through Texas into the Deep South, storms with heavy rainfall will stay confined to parts of eastern Texas and the upper coast.

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