As our average highs continue to tumble headed toward winter, you may be wondering if the recent unseasonable warmth we've had is truly that unusual for this time of the year.

With forecast highs near or above 70 degrees into this weekend, let's look at November warmth through the lens of 70+ degree days.

Using data going back to 1902 here in Syracuse, there have been 71 years without a single high temperature in November reaching 70 degrees.

To put this in perspective, that means that more than half of Novembers on record have not had temperatures this warm, so historically, the odds of it occurring aren't extraordinarily high.

With that being said, a few years have had a number of unseasonably warm November days, with a high of at least 70.

You only have to rewind two years to Nov. 2020 to find a month with a remarkable six days of 70+ degree warmth!

The highest temperature recorded that particular month was 78 degrees.

Only one other year—1931—featured a November with more; seven days of 70+ degree highs occurred that year.

Given this, is it possible for November temperatures to reach even higher than the 70s?

History tells us the answer is a resounding yes!

Believe it or not, back in 1950, the warmest November temperature on record here in the Salt City occurred.

The high on Nov. 1, 1950 was an unbelievable 81 degrees!

Looking through the 7-day forecast and a bit beyond, our odds of seeing above-average temperatures here in the Northeast will continue toward the middle of the month.

With four of the top five warmest Novembers on record here in Syracuse occurring since 2000, we may be able to add 2022 to that list if our current trend of warmth continues.

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