August 5th featured some of the coolest weather in more than a month and many are wondering if this is a pattern shift to more “fall type weather” after picking up the hottest month in recorded history here in Buffalo. The short answer is "nope," and here’s why.

Our streak of 80+ degree days ended at 23 straight days. However, we do expect those 80s to make a return this weekend. The average high for this time of year is now in the upper 70s, so anything in the 80s is above average.

As our computer models show, once the above-average temps return, they’ll be here to stay through the rest of the month more days than not. Anything in brown, orange, or red represents above-average temps, blue and green being below average.

While it won’t be a record-breaker like July, August still looks likely to finish above average in the temperature department.

And as we look at September, we do expect more of the same. While there will be brief shots of cooler weather like we saw this past Wednesday, more often than not temperatures will be running above average. Of course, this is all relative to the daily and seasonal average, which will be getting cooler.

Overall precipitation will be around average much like July.

As we look further into fall we do not expect any major shifts, as shown by several of our climate models. Pretty much everyone has above average temps through October.

To sum up there’s still going to be plenty of summer warmth to enjoy the pool, beach, or lake into September. Beyond that we all know what’s coming, so be on the lookout for our big Winter Weather Outlook special in November.