It's jacket weather for all! Even though we'll see abundant sunshine rule all day long, temps will only rise into the mid and possibly upper 50s at the warmest this afternoon.
And the north-northeasterly winds continue to add a bit of a bite in the wind chill department thanks to wind speeds around 5 to 10 mph, then they'll diminish and turn notably lighter after sunset.
Look for another cold start tomorrow with widespread 30s, including the chance once again for a light freeze in rural/suburban areas. The winds will start to shift tomorrow, eventually becoming southeasterly. As moisture from the Gulf of Mexico starts to increase, the forecast shows clouds rolling back into the area during the second half of our Wednesday.
It'll be a cloudy and slightly warmer day on Thursday with a slim 20% rain chance.
Then Friday looks to be the most disruptive weather day we've had around in several weeks, with the combination of a polar cold front and an upper-air disturbance from the Pacific taking aim on the Lone Star State. The latest computer models show more agreement than previous days, which gives us higher confidence in this scenario panning out as predicted.
It's now a 80% chance for showers & storms on Friday. While the severe weather threat will be fairly low, there is a chance for some thunder and very heavy downpours especially by Friday afternoon to early evening thanks to abundant moisture, a mid-level jet stream running directly overhead, and the cold front moving through the region.
There's a chance for some 2" to 4" accumulations here at home, with the prospect of a few locations reaching up to near 5" or even 6" especially north and east of the Capital City.
As it looks now, the upper-air disturbance will swirl east by Saturday, carrying the rain out of the local picture fairly quickly during the weekend but pumping in some mighty chilly air in its wake. After daytime 50s on Saturday, we might not even get out of the 40s in some parts of Central TX on Sunday. Freezing temperatures look possible early next week.
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