Staten Island and southern Brooklyn have, for decades, been linked together by the Verrazzano Bridge and a district in Congress that often favors Republican candidates.
But the GOP's grip on the seat could be loosened under a redrawing of congressional lines that campaign pros think will favor Democratic candidates running in New York's swing districts.
What You Need To Know
- The New York Court of Appeals ordered new congressional maps for the 2024 election
- Political experts say if Democrats control the map drawing process, they could get an the edge in swing districts
- There are six seats in New York that President Biden won in 2020 now represented by Republicans
For NY-11, that could mean bringing in voters from more liberal, Democratic parts of Brooklyn. Not many Democrats would openly admit that.
"I don't think you're going to find Democrats who are saying we want to draw these lines in a way that's just going to elects Democrats," said City Councilman Justin Brannan, a Brooklyn Democrat. "The lines need to be drawn in a way that give voters a voice."
Such a district may entice Brannan of Bay Ridge to run against the incumbent Republican Congresswoman, Nicole Malliotakis of Staten Island.
"I'm getting a lot of calls from folks who are urging me to run for this seat," Brannan said. "I'm gonna wait and see how the process plays out."
Under recent changes to the state constitution, districts in New York are supposed to be drawn by an independent commission. But if it’s deadlocked, the state legislature, now controlled by Democrats, draws the maps.
That process led Democratic legislators to create a map that was found to be an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander, leading to the current, court-drawn maps that allowed Republicans to flip several seats and take the majority in the House.
But the state’s high court threw that map out and wants the independent commission to try again.
“This has to happen very quickly and I’m just calling on the independent commission to do their jobs, be thoughtful, come up with the plan and let the process continue,” Gov. Kathy Hochul said.
In addition to Malliotakis, Nick Lalota of Long Island and Marc Molinaro of the Hudson Valley could see more Democrats in their redrawn districts.
“There are certainly a lot of games you can play community by community, block by block,” said Republican consultant Chapin Fay.
Meanwhile, Democrats have already been eyeing seats Republicans flipped last year.
“These are districts that President Biden won in 2020, so we know that they are winnable,” said Gabby Seay, spokeswoman for Battleground NY.
The state’s high court ordered the independent redistricting commission to produce new maps as soon as possible, no later than Feb. 28.