BUFFALO, N.Y. — Over the holiday weekend, Democratic gubernatorial candidate Cynthia Nixon took a multi-day Upstate campaign tour.
Political strategist Jack O'Donnell said it's likely her last visit to those regions before next week's primary.
"I'd be surprised to see either candidate stray that far from New York City. We might see them a little bit in the New York City suburbs," he said.
Nixon's trip included stops in Ithaca, Rochester, Syracuse and the Capital Region. She did not, however, stop in Buffalo, the state's second-largest city.
"To a large extent I think Cynthia Nixon is looking at the Zephyr Teachout 2014 campaign. You fish where the fish are," O'Donnell said.
He believes Nixon's campaign is focusing largely on white, liberal voters outside of New York City. He said both campaigns may also believe the Buffalo electorate has already made up its mind.
"The governor spent a lot of time here during his, say, first six years in office. He's made major investments in Buffalo and Western New York and, let's be frank: there's been some press, some trials here lately that are probably not the narrative that the Cuomo campaign is looking for," he said.
Canisius College political science associate professor Kevin Hardwick pointed out Governor Andrew Cuomo has spent virtually no time in Western New York during the primary campaign and he doesn't expect that to change this week.
"At this point in time, if you're the governor, why would you come,” Hardwick asked. “The last thing you want to be talking about the day before the primary is the Buffalo Billion scandal.”
He said the campaigns are turning their focus to getting voters to the poll this week and, with no high-profile down-ballot primaries in Western New York, they may expect poor turnout in the region.
"Turnout, I think, is going to be suppressed here and that's going to work in someone's favor. I'm not sure whose but that's going to work in someone's favor," Hardwick said.
Ultimately, with more than half of the state's registered Democrats, he says New York City is simply more important — for now.
"It would make sense, however, for whoever wins this primary to get up here right away because we in Western New York have been neglected. People feel neglected and you're going to need those votes in the general election," Hardwick said.