CHARLOTTE, N.C. -- The horse has left the barn and many folks are galloping towards wintry shenanigans Saturday night through early Tuesday morning.
Shenanigans you say? I do. It appears a bit more likely that our area will see a high impact winter event. Much will change in the next 48 hours. Thus far, however, we are seeing consistent agreement with modeling about this forth coming event.
A few things to keep in mind:
- NC is one of the hardest places for all elements coming together for a big snow event. This could be it.
- Track of the storm is KEY. Too far north, a cold rain. Down the middle an icy rain mix. Far south, all snow.
- Much like Charlie Brown trying to kick that football (Google if you need), we've had a lot of run ups to these big events only to have the snowy football pulled away at the last minute. Can that happen here? Yes, but seems a bit less likely for now.
If you believe the EURO and GFS, we could be talking nearly a foot, or more, of snow along the I-85 line and north / northwest into the foothills. Mountain counties could see two or more feet of snow. Given the overall pattern of late, I can't fully shake the ghost of February 2004 from my brain. That friends, was a big snow event for our region.
So, there you are. We'll hone the forecast in the coming days and we'll be watching for Lucy to pull away the football.
I would go ahead and start some prep for having to be at home with a full house for a few days. Nothing wrong with being over prepared and this not happen, versus not and stuck without some supplies.
By Thursday night, early Friday, we should have a really solid feel about this being a big hit or not.