For the tenth day in a row, we've got rain in Central Texas! After seeing activity on the radar overnight, there could be a mix of showers & storms out there this afternoon. The odds continue to favor more drought relief in the days ahead as we watch a storm try to take shape in the Gulf of Mexico and head towards the Lone Star State. Today's forecast calls for an overall 50% rain/storm chance with afternoon highs in the upper 70s to low 80s.
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Top rain totals from midnight through sunrise:
0.47" Dripping Springs
0.46" Cedar Park
0.45" Mansfield Dam
0.45" Oak Hill
0.44" Lake Austin
0.42" Lago Vista
0.41" Lakeway
0.40" Austin-Mabry
0.38" Downtown Austin
Futurecast shows scattered showers coming from the east-southeast during the day. A slow-moving, upper-air disturbance is located to our northwest and it'll hang out for at least a couple more days, adding on extra instability and uplift to a very tropical atmosphere. Rain will likely be heaviest south of I-10 and east of I-45 through Wednesday.
The models show more scattered showers & storms brewing up for the I-35 corridor Thursday, mostly for the afternoon to evening hours.
At the same time, a disturbance in the Gulf is expected to slowly grow and move north. It may become a weak Tropical Depression or even Tropical Storm Joyce before hitting the Gulf Coast Friday. Our in-house models shows the greatest impact on the coast, of course, with waves of rain trying to push up to the Austin area on Friday. As a result, we're bumping the rain chance to 60% to close out the week.
Conditions should start to really dry out again starting Sunday, with dry weather possible into next week.
There's a lot going on this week, including the approach of HURRICANE FLORENCE to the East Coast, and we'll have it all for you on 'Weather on the 1s' every 10 minutes on TV or the live stream. Be sure to check in!
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Enjoy the weather!
--Chief Meteorologist Burton Fitzsimmons (@Burton_Spectrum)