The forecast calls for showers and storms from the Gulf of Mexico to become more prominent in the days ahead, bringing a welcome break from the current heat wave. But not quickly enough for some! Temperatures will top out in a range of mid to upper 90s again this afternoon, feeling as hot as 99 to 104. Take it easy out there!
Austin's official Camp Mabry temperature records reveal that today will be our 10th day in a row with above-normal (92) heat. The daily record of 108 (1998) looks to be quite safe.
As has been the case pretty much all week, we're planning for a mix of sun and clouds this afternoon along with gusty south-southeast winds.
The overall rain chance is 20% both today and tomorrow. Futurecast shows the sea breeze advancing with some rain from the coast towards Austin, possibly arriving in the Capital City around the 4 o'clock time frame. It'll likely be brief, if anything.
Near the Yucatan, the disorganized tropical wave we've been watching shows little sign of growth or promise of coming together compared to 24 hours ago. NOAA's forecast says it's a lower 10% probability of becoming a Tropical Depression. Our latest models suggest it'll approach the coast between Friday and Saturday then move inland over the weekend, bringing what could be several waves of rain to the area.
Some heavy rain totals could be the result! NOAA's latest 7 day rain outlook calls for 2" to 3" totals here in our area, with widespread heavy 4" to 5" potential totals across South and Coastal Texas.
Bottom line: it's shaping up to be a wet Father's Day weekend, at least from time-to-time. Be sure to join us for 'Weather on the 1s' today on TV or the live stream and we'll talk more about the impact locally and on travel.