Some mighty powerful storms are expected to erupt across the Lone Star State today with sizable hail yet, as much as we'd love to see rainfall, the odds aren't in our favor locally.  It's a 20% rain chance overall.  The forecast calls for highs in the low 90s to feel like mid 90s.

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Storms that fired up last evening along the West Texas dryline did indeed make it into the Hill Country.  They were falling apart as they arrived in Gillespie Co., with no rain reported in our immediate area.  According to storm reports, hail the size of golfballs fell near Brownwood, and as many as four funnel clouds were also observed.  As for rain, a quarter inch fell in Junction and there were some three inch reports out of Mason Co.

Mostly cloudy skies will gradually open up to partial sunshine again this afternoon, with south-southeasterly winds keeping the flow of humidity chugging up from the Gulf of Mexico.

With a fairly robust "cap" on our atmosphere right now, I've got low confidence in this morning's computer models, which show scattered storms firing up across the Austin area this morning, moving south this afternoon.  The best shot for severe weather would be out west, again long the dryline.

High pressure will strengthen from Mexico to Texas during the second half of the week, reducing the rain chance even more.  We're still calling for upper 90s by Thursday and Friday, our hottest weather since August.

Then high pressure will scoot eastward, we believe, as we head to the weekend.  That'll allow at least a slim rain chance to re-appear Sunday through early next week.

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Enjoy the weather!
--Chief Meteorologist Burton Fitzsimmons (@Burton_Spectrum)