A lot to unpack today as we look to head into an active week ahead. High pressure currently sits to our northeast, just offshore over the Atlantic. It will dominate our weather today and through the first half of the upcoming workweek. Our above average trend in temperatures will continue today through Wednesday. Highs each afternoon will likely be near 10 degrees above average in the mid 80s. During this stretch our weather will be mostly dry. Isolated to scattered showers will be possible each afternoon as tropical moisture streams into the region. 

We'll entertain a small rain chance Monday and Tuesday afternoon until more unsettled weather arrives for the second half of the week. 

We're currently monitoring Tropical Depression 14 down in the western Caribbean. This system will likely upgrade to Tropical Storm Michael late Sunday. Based off the latest data, this system will feed off the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico and upgrade to a category 1 hurricane early Wednesday morning. Landfall will likely take place late Wednesday along the Gulf Coast and as it continues tracking northeast, the Carolinas will be impacted Thursday and Friday.

This is a relatively fast-paced tropical system. Yes we'll deal with a good soaking from it, but nothing compared to Florence. The two are not the same so lets just clear that up. Main concerns will be flash flooding for poor drainage areas, and areas near bodies of water. As the system progresses over the next few days we'll fine tune the forecast and and tweak possible impacts for the Carolinas.

There is some good news with our forecast. After the heat and tropical activity this week, a cold front will sweep through the area Friday. Behind the front, a cooler and drier air-mass will infiltrate the area. Temperatures look to drop below average into the low to mid 70s next week. Finally, Fall will actually feel like Fall!